Socio-cultural foundations of east-european&Russian geopolitics english

Duration of a cycle (years) Cycle #1 1 (1.1) From ancient times until 113 BC Indefinite Around 218 years (without 1st subperiod) As far as it's known, around 650 years 2 (1.2) From 113 BC until 110 AD 223 3 (1.3) From 110 until 380-s 270 4 (1.4) From 380-s until mid VI century Around 160 Cycle #2 5 (2.1) From mid VI century until mid VIII century 200 Around 207 years Around 830 years 6 (2.2) From mid VIII century until late X century 230 7 (2.3) From late X century until 1241 260 8 (2.4) From 1241 until 1380 139 Cycle #3 9 (3.1) From 1380 until 1570-s 190 Around 113 years Around 450 years 10 (3.2) From 1570-s until 1700 130 11 (3.3) From 1700 until 1772 72 12 (3.4) From 1772 until 1831 59 Cycle #4 13 (4.1) From 1832 until 1870 38 Around 39 years Around 156 years 14 (4.2) From 1871 until 1917 46 15 (4.3) From 1917 until 1945 28 16 (4.4) From 1945 until late 1980-s 44 Cycle #5 17 (5.1) Is still going on currently - Current cycle Current cycle 18 19 20 Prognosis - Described duration of the buffer zone evolution - around 2100 years

CHRONOLOGY OF EVOLUTION:

ASIA MINOR AS EXTERNAL BUFFER ZONE

Cycle	Subperiod	Dates	Duration of a subperiod (years)	Average duration of subperiods within a cycle (years)	Duration of a cycle (years)
Cycle #1	1 (1.1)	From ancient times until VIII century BC	Indefinite	Around 303 years (without 1st subperiod)	As far as it's known, around 910 year
	2 (1.2)	From VIII century BC until 327 BC	473
	3 (1.3)	From 327 until 180 BC	147
	4 (1.4)	From 180 BC until 110 AD	290
Cycle #2	5 (2.1)	From 110 AD until 380	270	Around 228 years	Around 910 years
	6 (2.2)	From 380 until 610	230
	7 (2.3)	From 610 until 870-s	260
	8 (2.4)	From 870-s until early XI century	Around 150
Cycle #3	9 (3.1)	From early XI century until late XIII century	260	Around 187 years	Around 750 years
	10 (3.2)	From late XIII century until 1453	Around 170
	11 (3.3)	From 1453 until 1680-s	227
	12 (3.4)	From 1680-s until 1770-s	Around 90
Cycle #4	13 (4.1)	From 1770-s until 1856	86	Current cycle. As per three completed subperiods - 70 years	Current cycle. As per three completed subperiods - around 210 years
	14 (4.2)	From 1856 until 1908	52
	15 (4.3)	From 1908 until 1980-s	72
	16 (4.4)	From 1980-s and for some future - is still going on currently	-
Cycle #5	17 (5.1) 18 (5.2) 19 (5.3) 20 (5.4)	Prognosis	-	-	-
Described duration of the buffer zone evolution - around 2800 years

4. Socio-cultural methodology is completely applicable to the analysis of the Russian Empire - USSR - CIS (or Russian SCS, according to our terminology) space evolution. We suggest our own version of the socio-cultural zonation of the Russian SCS's space: by the late XX century, there are 20 (twenty) socio-cultural regions and 8 (eight) enclaves. Below is the periodization of the Russian SCS's socio-cultural regions (Russian enclaves' periodization is given in the Tatiana Nikolaenko papers; for definitions see Appendix 1).

SOCIO-CULTURAL EVOLUTION OF THE REGIONS

WITHIN RUSSIAN SCS: SUBPERIODS

I. Central Russian region

Number of cycles - 1

Number of subperiods - 10:

1. From ancient times up until VIII century AD

2. From VIII century until mid XI century

3. From mid XI until early XIII century

4. From early XIII century until 1380-s

5. From 1380-s until 1470-s

6. From 1470-s until 1572

7. From 1572 to 1690-s

8. From 1690-s to 1917

9. From 1917 to 1991

10. From 1991 and for some future

II. Pskov - Novgorod - Petersburg region

Number of cycles - 1

Number of subperiods - 10:

1. From ancient times up until VIII century AD

2. From VIII until mid XI century

3. From mid XI until early XIII century

4. From early XIII and until late XIII century

5. From late XIII century until 1471

6. From 1471 to 1572

7. From 1572 to 1700-s

8. From early XVIII century until 1917

9. From 1917 to 1991

10. From 1991 and for some future

III. Northern European region

Number of cycles - 1

Number of subperiods - 7:

1.1. From ancient times up until VIII century AD

1.2. From VIII until mid XI century

2. From mid XI until 1470

3. From 1470 to 1572

4. From 1572 until early XVIII century

5. From early XVIII until early XX century

6. From early XX and until late XX century

7. From late XX century and for some future

IV. Smolensk - Bryansk - Chernigov - Sumy region (southern part of this socio-cultural region belongs at present to Ukrainian state)

Number of cycles - 1

Number of subperiods - 11:

1. From ancient times up until VIII century AD

2. From VIII until mid XI century

3. From mid XI until early XIII century

4. From early XIII until mid XIV century

5. From mid XIV century until 1514

6. From 1514 until early XVII century

7. From early XVII century until 1667

8. From 1667 to 1772

9. From 1772 to 1917

10. From 1917 to 1991

11. From 1991 and for some future

V. Central Ukrainian region

Number of cycles - 1

Number of subperiods - 9:

1. From ancient times up until IX century AD

2. From IX until mid XI century

3. From mid XI century until 1160-s

4. From 1160-s to 1380

5. From 1380 to 1667

6. From 1667 to 1770

7. From 1770 to 1917

8. From 1917 to 1991

9. From 1991 and for some future

VI. Southern Russian region (south-western part of this socio-cultural region belongs at present